Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 25 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 25 Apr 2024 to 30 Apr 2024, the highest close was 22.5% on 26 Apr 2024 and the lowest 11.5% on 25 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 22.5% on 26 Apr 2024. $96.18K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 25 Apr 2024 – 30 Apr 2024, chart shows 5%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2024 | 11.5% |
| 30 Apr 2024 | 16.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 105.97K |
| jakc23 | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CZ is sentenced to between 12 months (inclusive) and 18 months (exclusive) in prison, as part of the ongoing case 'United States v. Changpeng Zhao', by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the sentencing is expressed in days by the court, one month will be considered equivalent to 30 days for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding CZ's present trial. The market pertains to the actual time to be served in his sentence—if he is given concurrent sentences, the longest one is used. If he is given consecutive sentences, the sum of their lengths is used. If no sentence is rendered by Dec 31, 2024, this market group will resolve to the bottom bracket (>6 months).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-czs-sentence-be
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