Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 73% on 28 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 65 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2023 to 1 Mar 2024, the highest close was 73% on 28 Dec 2023 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 1.8% on 14 Feb 2024. $382.87K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 28 Dec 2023 – 1 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2023 | 73.0% |
| 1 Mar 2024 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SBF's Lawyer | Yes | 6.93K |
| Killtilleter | No | 205 |
| Crimson Signal 8889 | Yes | 6 |
| applepeepx0 | Yes | 0.24 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Changpeng Zhao (CZ) spends any time in custody in a jail or prison between December 25 and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cz-jail-before-march
| NotaName | No | 0.16 |
| dchoow | No | 0.08 |
| pk2 | No | 0.06 |
| wo45mber | No | 0.04 |
| Ancountless | No | 0.01 |
| Anon12321-837 | No | 0.01 |
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