
Resolved Oregon Ducks on 5 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Oregon Ducks at 46%. The Illinois Fighting Illini side opened at 50% on 30 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 5 Feb 2026, the highest close was 54% on 5 Feb 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 4 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 54% on 5 Feb 2026. $658.11 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 5, 6:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Illinois Fighting Illini price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 5 Feb 2026, chart shows 30%–60%
| Observed | Illinois Fighting Illini price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 5 Feb 2026 | 54.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Horizon F967 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 25 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | Illinois Fighting Illini | 22.52 |
| Peperelman | Illinois Fighting Illini | 17.54 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming WBB game, scheduled for February 4 at 9:00 PM ET: If the Illinois Fighting Illini win, the market will resolve to "Illinois Fighting Illini". If the Oregon Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Oregon Ducks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cwbb-ill-ore-2026-02-04
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