
Resolved Spirit on 16 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Spirit at 8.5%. Yes opened at 74.5% on 11 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 11 Jan 2026 to 16 Jan 2026, the highest close was 92.5% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 74.5% on 11 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 89.5% on 12 Jan 2026. $222.84K traded over the market's life.
70 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 11 Jan 2026 – 16 Jan 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | 74.5% |
| 16 Jan 2026 | 91.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| minionguy | Sinners | 30K |
| JohnnyWins | Sinners | 20.84K |
| BacTrades | Sinners | 7K |
| goup18 | Sinners | 3.8K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win against Sinners in the named Counter-Strike match in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, scheduled for January 16 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win against Spirit in the Counter-Strike match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.sofascore.com/esports.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cs2-ts7-sin2-2026-01-16
| wadell | Sinners | 3K |
| EVplusrebate | Sinners | 2K |
| Ponnyjonny | Sinners | 1.25K |
| Gleaming-Trek | Sinners | 1.13K |
| farmboi | Sinners | 1K |
| Zyan232 | Sinners | 599.93 |
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