
Resolved THUNDER dOWNUNDER on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 9.5%. Yes opened at 92.5% on 15 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 15 Mar 2026 to 16 Mar 2026, the highest close was 92.5% on 15 Mar 2026 and the lowest 90.5% on 16 Mar 2026.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 6:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Mar 2026 – 16 Mar 2026, chart shows 86%–98%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | 92.5% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | 90.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chobanilounge | Time Waves | 549.93 |
| qazwsxedcrfvtgb | Time Waves | 194.99 |
| rocketfly | Time Waves | 75 |
| Cylindrical-Stylus | Time Waves | 39.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Time Waves in the ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group B, initially scheduled for March 15 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "THUNDER dOWNUNDER" if THUNDER dOWNUNDER win the match against Time Waves. This market will resolve to "Time Waves" if Time Waves win the match against THUNDER dOWNUNDER. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cs2-thunde-timewa-2026-03-15
| WolfeReborn | Time Waves | 30.77 |
| azlan474833 | Time Waves | 26.91 |
| aauuiion | Time Waves | 19.81 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Time Waves | 11.16 |
| p2aa | Time Waves | 10.45 |
| BOBAROBA | Time Waves | 10 |
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