Analytics
“Map Handicap: STA (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Prospect (+1.5)” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, STATE and Inner Circle Prospect. It belongs to the event “Counter-Strike: STATE vs Inner Circle Prospect (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs”. The STATE price is the market's implied probability that STATE wins. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
This market resolved Inner Circle Prospect on 16 Aug 2026. $4.99 traded over its life. The price history, the holders still on the books and the trade tape below are kept as the record of how the crowd priced the question while it was open.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 2 daily price points from Aug 15, 2026 UTC to Aug 16, 2026 UTC (Yes between 49.5% and 50.0%); 1 wallets still holding shares after settlement, the largest ten holding 100.0% of the loaded shares; 1 recent public fills from 1 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Daily closes of the STATE price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 15 Aug 2026 – 16 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 44%–56%
| Observed | STATE price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 16 Aug 2026 | 49.5% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| triklozoid | STATE | 4.99 |
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between STATE and Inner Circle Prospect in the European Pro League Regular Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "STATE" if STATE wins 2 or more maps than Inner Circle Prospect in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Inner Circle Prospect". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cs2-sta6-innerc2-2026-08-16
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Observed closes of the Yes price over the market's life. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard