Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 50% on 11 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 11 Jan 2026 to 14 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 12 Jan 2026 and the lowest 50% on 11 Jan 2026. $252.52 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 10:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 11 Jan 2026 – 14 Jan 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 121 |
| v7H | Yes | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming match between Monte and Natus Vincere in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, scheduled for January 14 at 11:00am ET: If Monte wins exactly 1 maps in this series, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.sofascore.com/esports
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cs2-navi-mnte-2026-01-14
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