The question, the state of play, and how it settles
Facts updated Jul 18, 2026 UTC
“Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-6.5) vs OlyBet SB (+6.5)” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. It belongs to the event “Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group D”. The Yes price is the market's implied probability that the question resolves Yes. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
The venue reports this market as closed. Its scheduled close is Jul 17, 2026 UTC. No resolved outcome is inferred from a closed or suspended state.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 1 loaded holder wallets, the largest ten holding 100.0% of the loaded shares; 2 recent public fills from 2 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Timeline
Event starts
Jul 15, 2026 UTC
Trading closed
Jul 17, 2026 UTC
Now
Live observation
Source Evidence
Evidence coverage
Items
2
Fetched
2
Latest
Aug 13, 2026 UTC
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
Jul 18, 2026 UTC
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Closed
Order book
Captured book available
Observed Yes
0.0%
The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
1
Wallets
1
Top 10 share
100%
Yes / No shares
5 / 0
Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
2
Wallets
2
Loaded notional
Field guide
How to read this market
9 stops
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
01
Yes and No prices
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Last observed
Yes 0.0¢ · No 100.0¢
02
Implied probability
Price historyPrice history unavailable
No price history
Price history is unavailable for this market.
Top holdersLargest rows from the capped public top-holder endpoint; not venue-wide open interest.
What is the “Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-6.5) vs OlyBet SB (+6.5)” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-6.5) vs OlyBet SB (+6.5) It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group D”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Jul 17, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Misa Esports and OlyBet SB in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group D, initially scheduled for July 17 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win the match against OlyBet SB. This market will resolve to "OlyBet SB" if OlyBet SB win the match against Misa Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($10) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Event startsJul 15, 2026 UTC
Trading closedJul 17, 2026 UTC
NowLive observation
Outcomes
Misa Esports
0.0¢ · 0.0%
OlyBet SB
100.0¢ · 100.0%
Resolution rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Misa Esports and OlyBet SB in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group D, initially scheduled for July 17 at 1:15PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match.
This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports wins Map 1 by 7 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Misa Esports's round total on Map 1 exceeds OlyBet SB's by 7 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "OlyBet SB".
Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Yes chance
0.0%
03
24h volume
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Traded in 24h
$10
04
Liquidity
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
05
Spread
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
06
Top holders and concentration
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
Top 10 wallets hold
100.0% of 1 loaded wallets
07
Trade tape
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Loaded fills
2 fills · 2 wallets · $9.9
08
Price history
Hourly closes of the Yes price. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
09
Close and resolution
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
Closes
Jul 17, 2026 UTC
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Misa Esports and OlyBet SB in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group D, initially scheduled for July 17 at 1:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win the match against OlyBet SB.
This market will resolve to "OlyBet SB" if OlyBet SB win the match against Misa Esports.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
EvidenceMarket-scoped source, creator, and related-market links.
Vultax loaded 1 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jul 18, 5:55 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-mis-oly-2026-07-17) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
