The question, the state of play, and how it settles
Facts updated Jul 21, 2026
“Counter-Strike: MAGICOS vs Blitzkrieg - Map 1 Winner” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. It belongs to the event “Counter-Strike: MAGICOS vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage”. The Yes price is the crowd's implied probability that the question resolves Yes; every trade on the public order book moves it.
The venue reports this market as closed. Its scheduled close is Jul 20, 2026. No resolved outcome is inferred from a closed or suspended state.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 1 loaded holder wallets, the largest ten holding 100.0% of the loaded shares; 37 recent public fills from 24 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Timeline
Event starts
Jul 20, 2026
Trading closed
Jul 20, 2026
Now
Live observation
Source Evidence
Evidence coverage
Items
2
Fetched
2
Latest
Aug 11, 2026
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
Jul 21, 2026
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Closed
Order book
Captured book available
Observed Yes
50.0%
The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
1
Wallets
1
Top 10 share
100%
Yes / No shares
0 / 46.03
Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
37
Wallets
24
Loaded notional
Field guide
How to read this market
9 stops
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
01
Yes and No prices
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Last observed
Yes 50.0¢ · No 50.0¢
02
Implied probability
Price historyPrice history unavailable
No price history
Price history is unavailable for this market.
Top holdersLargest rows from the capped public top-holder endpoint; not venue-wide open interest.
What is the “Counter-Strike: MAGICOS vs Blitzkrieg - Map 1 Winner” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Counter-Strike: MAGICOS vs Blitzkrieg - Map 1 Winner It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Counter-Strike: MAGICOS vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 50.0¢ and No at 50.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 50.0% for Yes and 50.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Jul 20, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MAGICOS and Blitzkrieg in the CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 20 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "MAGICOS" if MAGICOS win the match against Blitzkrieg. This market will resolve to "Blitzkrieg" if Blitzkrieg win the match against MAGICOS. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($4.56K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Event starts
Jul 20, 2026
Trading closedJul 20, 2026
NowLive observation
Outcomes
MAGICOS
50.0¢ · 50.0%
Blitzkrieg
50.0¢ · 50.0%
Resolution rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MAGICOS and Blitzkrieg in the CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 20 at 3:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "MAGICOS" if MAGICOS win the match against Blitzkrieg.
This market will resolve to "Blitzkrieg" if Blitzkrieg win the match against MAGICOS.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ means the crowd gives Yes about a 21.5% chance right now. It moves with every trade, so it is a live forecast, not a verdict.
Yes chance
50.0%
03
24h volume
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Traded in 24h
$4.56K
04
Liquidity
Dollars resting in the order book, waiting to be traded against. Deep liquidity lets a large order fill near the quoted price; thin liquidity means the price jumps when someone trades size.
05
Spread
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
06
Top holders and concentration
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
Top 10 wallets hold
100.0% of 1 loaded wallets
07
Trade tape
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Loaded fills
37 fills · 24 wallets · $2.39K
08
Price history
Hourly closes of the Yes price. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
09
Close and resolution
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
Closes
Jul 20, 2026
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MAGICOS and Blitzkrieg in the CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 20 at 3:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "MAGICOS" if MAGICOS win the match against Blitzkrieg.
This market will resolve to "Blitzkrieg" if Blitzkrieg win the match against MAGICOS.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
EvidenceMarket-scoped source, creator, and related-market links.
Vultax loaded 1 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jul 21, 7:44 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-mag-bk-2026-07-20-game1) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
