Analytics
Resolved Imperial on 4 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Imperial at 61%. Yes opened at 39% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2025 to 4 Dec 2025, the price held at 39%. $414.35K traded over the market's life.
212 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 5, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 4 Dec 2025, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 39.0% |
| 4 Dec 2025 | 39.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RebornAthena | TheMongolz | 11.68K |
| minionguy | TheMongolz | 8.55K |
| carlsitdown | TheMongolz | 8K |
| Darkhealer | TheMongolz | 5.58K |
| hcreyrjiir | TheMongolz | 5.31K |
| smartli | TheMongolz | 5.18K |
| Qulang555 | TheMongolz | 4.55K |
| WistfulHunger | TheMongolz | 3.17K |
| dababy67 | TheMongolz | 2.9K |
| Schrodinger1887 | TheMongolz | 2.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Imperial" if Imperial win against TheMongolz in the named Counter-Strike match in the StarLadder Major Budapest Stage 3, scheduled for December 4 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win against Imperial in the Counter-Strike match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cs2-imp11-mglz-2025-12-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
