Analytics
Resolved Misa Esports on 27 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Misa Esports at 32.5%. The Black Phoenix side opened at 50% on 24 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2026 to 27 Jul 2026, the highest close was 67.5% on 27 Jul 2026 and the lowest 42% on 25 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 65.5% on 26 Jul 2026. $132.23K traded over the market's life.
106 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 28, 7:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Black Phoenix price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 24 Jul 2026 – 27 Jul 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Black Phoenix price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Jul 2026 | 67.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Black Phoenix | 22.35K |
| nottolost | Black Phoenix | 1.57K |
| igot50k | Black Phoenix | 1.39K |
| lilkinos | Black Phoenix | 900 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Black Phoenix and Misa Esports in the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group D, initially scheduled for July 27 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Black Phoenix" if Black Phoenix win the match against Misa Esports. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win the match against Black Phoenix. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cs2-blackp-mis-2026-07-27
| Juzesu | Black Phoenix | 808 |
| g4mb1er | Black Phoenix | 509.53 |
| Strong-Enterprise | Black Phoenix | 500 |
| Eminent-Pole | Black Phoenix | 458.74 |
| Lukasz273 | Black Phoenix | 420 |
| VibeBetting2 | Black Phoenix | 400 |
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