Analytics
“Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Aurora Gaming and Astralis. It belongs to the event “Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs”. The Aurora Gaming price is the market's implied probability that Aurora Gaming wins. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
This market resolved Aurora Gaming on 15 Mar 2026. The price history, the holders still on the books and the trade tape below are kept as the record of how the crowd priced the question while it was open.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 2 daily price points from Mar 14, 2026 UTC to Mar 15, 2026 UTC (Yes between 52.5% and 100.0%); 55 wallets still holding shares after settlement, the largest ten holding 88.0% of the loaded shares; 500 recent public fills from 233 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Daily closes of the Aurora Gaming price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 14 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026
| Observed | Aurora Gaming price |
|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | 52.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| playboyisinthehouse | Astralis | 6.87K |
| LuizBonfa | Astralis | 5.64K |
| EVplusrebate | Astralis |
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Aurora Gaming and Astralis in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 14 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against Astralis. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cs2-aur1-ast10-2026-03-14
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Observed closes of the Yes price over the market's life. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
| 4.08K |
| PuperSuper | Astralis | 3.62K |
| fkigedgjdgwbg | Astralis | 3K |
| GGBIG888 | Astralis | 2.28K |
| ALBANIAKING | Astralis | 2.18K |
| perevaloww | Astralis | 2.09K |
| Content-Banking | Astralis | 1.21K |
| Elegant-Vacation | Astralis | 962.3 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard