Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Resolved

Aurora Gaming, settled Mar 15, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$2.0M

Resolved

Aurora Gaming

Settled

Mar 15, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Aurora Gaming on 15 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Aurora Gaming at 0%. Yes opened at 53% on 14 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 14 Mar 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 100% on 15 Mar 2026 and the lowest 53% on 14 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 100% on 15 Mar 2026. $2.02M traded over the market's life.

230 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 1:15 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
YT-JuicySlots	Astralis	41.95K
guispichio	Astralis	31.87K
babandigga	Astralis	10K
LuizBonfa	Astralis	7.78K

10 of 230 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Aurora Gaming and Astralis in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 14 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Astralis. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.