Analytics
Resolved Alliance on 26 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alliance at 92.5%. The Alliance side opened at 53% on 16 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 16 Mar 2026 to 26 Mar 2026, the highest close was 92.5% on 26 Mar 2026 and the lowest 53% on 16 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 90.5% on 25 Mar 2026.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 27, 3:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Alliance price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 16 Mar 2026 – 26 Mar 2026
| Observed | Alliance price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2026 | 53.0% |
| 26 Mar 2026 | 92.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zr88fdVY335iW | ReThink | 559 |
| Yellow-blue | ReThink | 373.48 |
| zenitsulove | ReThink | 287.89 |
| xixi666 | ReThink | 195.42 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Alliance and ReThink in the Journey Group D, initially scheduled for March 26 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against ReThink. This market will resolve to "ReThink" if ReThink win the match against Alliance. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cs2-all-rt1-2026-03-26
| Dearest-Larder | ReThink | 144.29 |
| PMHedgeFund | ReThink | 118 |
| MEV-PM | ReThink | 112 |
| wzbslbt1397287 | ReThink | 108.57 |
| ruiMcosta | ReThink | 100.02 |
| Golden Signal 221E | ReThink | 100 |
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