Analytics
Resolved Alliance on 20 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alliance at 91.1%. The Alliance side opened at 75.5% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2026 to 20 Feb 2026, the highest close was 100% on 9 Feb 2026 and the lowest 50% on 19 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 50% on 19 Feb 2026. $30.9K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 21, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Alliance price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 8 Feb 2026 – 20 Feb 2026
| Observed | Alliance price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | 75.5% |
| 20 Feb 2026 | 91.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dvghjk18oc4nh | Misa Esports | 1.1K |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Misa Esports | 187 |
| zika0 | Misa Esports | 185.52 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Misa Esports | 146 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Alliance and Misa Esports in the United21 Playoffs, scheduled for February 8 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against Misa Esports. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win the match against Alliance. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org/.
Resolution source: https://hltv.org/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cs2-all-mis-2026-02-08
| K969 | Misa Esports | 126.7 |
| rcxaaj1pq0u9 | Misa Esports | 120 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Misa Esports | 120 |
| bjprolo | Misa Esports | 100 |
| TheFinalPercent | Misa Esports | 100 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Misa Esports | 66 |
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