Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 15 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 15 Dec 2025 to 29 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50% on 15 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 0.5% on 22 Dec 2025. $2.9K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 30, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 15 Dec 2025 – 29 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 29 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.55K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 393 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 305 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 250 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Desert Vipers and MI Emirates scheduled for 2025-12-21 in International League T20. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.icc-cricket.com/. The outcome corresponding to Desert Vipers will be considered correct if Desert Vipers is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to MI Emirates will be considered correct if MI Emirates is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to Neither. DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to Neither. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to Neither. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Resolution source: https://www.icc-cricket.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cruae-des-mi-2025-12-21-toss-match-double
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 174 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 173.63 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 121.45 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 110 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 20 |
| AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes | 20 |
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