Analytics
Yes is at 11%, down 38 points from 49% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 9% on 25 Oct 2026.
Draw ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “Test Match: South Africa vs Australia”. South Africa leads at 45.5%; Australia is at 41.5%.
$6.34K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.43K since listing. The order book holds $7.42K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is chaeri with 3.4K shares; the largest No position is probability with 2.7K. Ten wallets hold 77.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 9:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 49.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 11.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chaeri | Yes | 3.39K |
| probability | No | 2.71K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.6K |
This market refers to the cricket match between South Africa and Australia scheduled for October 27 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in Test Match. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/crint-zaf-aus-2026-10-27
| NoIdea666 |
| No |
| 2.16K |
| Unwitting-Almighty | Yes | 1.4K |
| SunlineTicker | No | 1.1K |
| Motherly-Homework | Yes | 834.75 |
| 38791873984189 | Yes | 796.35 |
| Lalani | Yes | 761.86 |
| Lossingmyself | Yes | 600 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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