Analytics
Resolved Spain on 17 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Spain at 91.5%. The Luxembourg side opened at 9.5% on 15 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2026 to 17 Aug 2026, the highest close was 13.5% on 16 Aug 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 17 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 8.5% on 17 Aug 2026. $26.25K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 18, 5:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Luxembourg price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 17 Aug 2026, chart shows 6%–16%
| Observed | Luxembourg price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 9.5% |
| 17 Aug 2026 | 8.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hw3336 | Luxembourg | 840 |
| grandculp | Luxembourg | 249 |
| Bitjana | Luxembourg | 228 |
| sivaelsa | Luxembourg | 125.35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the cricket match between Luxembourg and Spain scheduled for August 17 2026 in ICC Men's T20 World Cup Europe Sub Regional Qualifier C. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/crint-lux-esp-2026-08-17
| jackinv1lvl2 | Luxembourg | 119.78 |
| ezp-gk-12 | Luxembourg | 85 |
| crossfire1 | Luxembourg | 82.93 |
| Corny-Adviser | Luxembourg | 80.04 |
| Ivory Pioneer 401A | Luxembourg | 61.71 |
| Iloveoneplus | Luxembourg | 50 |
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