Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 50% on 17 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the price held at 50%. $500 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 2:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| frech-y | Yes | 100 |
| gemuetlich | Yes | 100 |
| flink-sam | Yes | 100 |
| sniper-cro | Yes | 100 |
| geduldig | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Lesotho and Mozambique scheduled for October 20 2026 at 9:00 AM ET in ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C. The outcome corresponding to Lesotho will be considered correct if Lesotho is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Mozambique will be considered correct if Mozambique is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/crint-lso-moz-2026-10-20-toss-match-double
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