Analytics
Resolved Italy on 17 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Italy at 70.5%. The Hong Kong side opened at 50.5% on 15 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2026 to 17 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 15 Aug 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 17 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 29.5% on 17 Aug 2026. $443.97 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 18, 12:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Hong Kong price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 17 Aug 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Hong Kong price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 17 Aug 2026 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Lynx EDE8 | Hong Kong | 309.99 |
| Ivory Pioneer 401A | Hong Kong | 13.8 |
| Swift Signal F1D2 | Hong Kong | 1.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the cricket match between Hong Kong and Italy scheduled for August 17 2026 in ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League B. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/crint-hkg-ita-2026-08-17
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