
Resolved Sri Lanka on 16 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Sri Lanka at 33.5%. The Australia side opened at 67.5% on 11 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 11 Feb 2026 to 16 Feb 2026, the highest close was 76% on 12 Feb 2026 and the lowest 66.5% on 16 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 76% on 12 Feb 2026. $1.34M traded over the market's life.
292 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 18, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Australia price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 11 Feb 2026 – 16 Feb 2026, chart shows 60%–80%
| Observed | Australia price |
|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | 67.5% |
| 16 Feb 2026 | 66.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dazzling-License | Australia | 100.48K |
| Magnificent-Still | Australia | 6.26K |
| Emerald Scout F88B | Australia | 5.33K |
| ArbitrageFund | Australia | 4.53K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the cricket match between Australia and Sri Lanka scheduled for February 16 2026 in T20 World Cup. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.icc-cricket.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50
Resolution source: https://www.icc-cricket.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/crint-aus-lka-2026-02-16
| Minus36k | Australia | 2.75K |
| R0ndog | Australia | 1.92K |
| cricwrong | Australia | 1.88K |
| GotRekt | Australia | 1.72K |
| arewrbBB | Australia | 1.3K |
| 0xpythagoras | Australia | 1.29K |
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