Analytics
Resolved Afghanistan on 8 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Afghanistan at 49.5%. The Afghanistan side opened at 50.5% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2026 to 8 Feb 2026, the highest close was 76% on 4 Feb 2026 and the lowest 49% on 6 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 76% on 4 Feb 2026. $11.17K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 9, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Afghanistan price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 3 Feb 2026 – 8 Feb 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Afghanistan price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 8 Feb 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | New Zealand | 192 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | New Zealand | 185 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | New Zealand | 157 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | New Zealand |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the pre-match coin toss for the cricket match between Afghanistan and New Zealand scheduled for 2026-02-08 in ICC T20 World Cup Grp.D. This market resolves according to the official coin toss result (the team recorded as having won the toss) as published by https://www.icc-cricket.com/. If an official toss winner is recorded, the market will resolve based on that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open and resolve according to the toss result for the listed fixture when it is eventually played. If the fixture is permanently canceled, forfeited before any toss is conducted, or otherwise completed without an official toss winner being recorded, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.icc-cricket.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/crint-afg-nzl-2026-02-08
| 130 |
| TheFinalPercent | New Zealand | 100 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | New Zealand | 71 |
| bjprolo | New Zealand | 50 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | New Zealand | 25 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | New Zealand | 5.63 |
| wdsad1 | New Zealand | 5 |
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