Analytics
Trading ended on 24 Mar 2026 with Yes at 45.8%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 221 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 59.4% on 5 May 2026 and the lowest 42.5% on 25 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 45.8%; a month before, 49%. Its largest one-day move was 7.2 points down, to 45.8% on 7 May 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Toss Match Double”.
$5.03K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is animal.bean with 25 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 51.
Polymarket record as of Oct 29, 3:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 221 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 52.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 45.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 50.59 |
| animal.bean | Yes | 25.01 |
| Rocks3 | Yes | 10 |
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Afghanistan and Sri Lanka scheduled for 2026-03-17 in T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka. The outcome corresponding to Afghanistan will be considered correct if Afghanistan is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Sri Lanka will be considered correct if Sri Lanka is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to Neither. DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to Neither. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to Neither. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/crint-afg-lka-2026-03-17-toss-match-double
| w34th3r |
| Yes |
| 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| f54940e77 | Yes | 0.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
