
Resolved No on 22 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 15 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 26% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 50.5% on 20 Oct 2026. $52.5 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 2:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 36.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| frech-y | Yes | 25 |
| dandan62 | Yes | 9 |
| graybull | Yes | 6 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the cricket match between Western Australia and New South Wales Blues scheduled for October 18 2026 at 10:30 PM ET in Sheffield Shield. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cricshield-wea-blu-2026-10-18
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