Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?

cryptoResolved

Yes, settled Jul 18, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$12.4K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 18, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 18 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 66%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 18 Jul 2026, the highest close was 66% on 18 Jul 2026 and the lowest 50% on 9 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 59% on 10 Jul 2026. $12.45K traded over the market's life.

10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 19, 10:27 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 18 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–70%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
9 Jul 2026	50.0%
18 Jul 2026	66.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Prinas	No	295.96
mamboNB5	No	100
TENETENET	No	100
acc32	No	50

10 of 10 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Credible's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Credible will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Credible (https://x.com/crediblefin) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".