Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 56%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 30 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 12 Feb 2026, the highest close was 99% on 10 Feb 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 30 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 97.9% on 9 Feb 2026. $3.97K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 13, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 12 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | 56.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| t3u | No | 500 |
| alilili1 | No | 500 |
| alivip | No | 500 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 473 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to whether play in the Test match between Western Australia Men and Tasmanian Tigers in Sheffield Shield reaches Day 3 under the competition's official playing conditions. This market resolves according to the finalized match status and the officially recorded progression of play as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The market will resolve Yes if play officially begins on Day 3. The market will resolve No if the match is completed, abandoned, canceled, or otherwise concludes under the playing conditions before any play begins on Day 3. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Resolution source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/craus-wes-tas-2026-02-05-more-markets
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 231 |
| villleus | No | 221.37 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 210 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 206 |
| ksdaxzk | No | 148.37 |
| cputhreds | No | 139.68 |
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