Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 51.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 5 Jan 2026 and the low 45.5% on 3 Jan 2026. $689.31 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 9, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 10 points · 30 Dec 2025 – 8 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 49.0% |
| 8 Jan 2026 | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 150.64 |
| paspor | Yes | 70 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
| 0xwon | Yes | 12 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Perth Scorchers and Adelaide Strikers scheduled for 2026-01-04 in Big Bash League. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.icc-cricket.com/. The outcome corresponding to Perth Scorchers will be considered correct if Perth Scorchers is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Adelaide Strikers will be considered correct if Adelaide Strikers is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to Neither. DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to Neither. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to Neither. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Resolution source: https://www.icc-cricket.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/craus-per-ade-2026-01-04-toss-match-double
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