Analytics
Resolved Melbourne Renegades on 4 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Melbourne Renegades at 38.5%. The Melbourne Stars side opened at 50% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 4 Jan 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 4 Jan 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 57% on 3 Jan 2026. $89.11K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 5, 4:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Melbourne Stars price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 4 Jan 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Melbourne Stars price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 4 Jan 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Magnificent-Still | Melbourne Stars | 5.35K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Melbourne Stars | 577 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Melbourne Stars | 512 |
| WienerProcess | Melbourne Stars |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the cricket match between Melbourne Stars and Melbourne Renegades scheduled for January 4 2026 in Big Bash League. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.icc-cricket.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50
Resolution source: https://www.icc-cricket.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/craus-mel-mel2-2026-01-04
| 500.26 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Melbourne Stars | 428 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Melbourne Stars | 317 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Melbourne Stars | 143 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Melbourne Stars | 132 |
| Deafening-Possible | Melbourne Stars | 70 |
| TungTungTungSAHUR | Melbourne Stars | 40.32 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
