Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 57.5% on 5 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 5 Jun 2024 to 1 Jul 2024, the highest close was 66% on 7 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.9% on 1 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 22% on 22 Jun 2024. $14.6K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 4:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 5 Jun 2024 – 1 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jun 2024 | 57.5% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tyl88 | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On June 4, Biden announced a new executive order restricting unlawful migrants from claiming asylum. You can read more about it here: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/06/04/fact-sheet-president-biden-announces-new-actions-to-secure-the-border/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if any federal court issues a ruling that overturns or blocks the implementation of President Biden's June 4 executive order by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The executive order will be considered overturned or blocked if a court issues an injunction, stay, restraining order or any other legal mechanism that blocks any portion of the executive order. Orders which temporarily block the executive order will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Federal Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/court-blocks-biden-executive-order-on-immigration
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