Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 34.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 12 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Apr 2026 to 23 Apr 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76% on 22 Apr 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 12 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 65.5% on 23 Apr 2026. $6.85K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 24, 8:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Apr 2026 – 23 Apr 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | 48.5% |
| 23 Apr 2026 | 65.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Irritating-Sundae | Yes | 100.02 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 85.98 |
| karoca | Yes | 53.32 |
| Azure Atlas 6863 | Yes | 31.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
As of market creation, Coursera is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Coursera’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.08 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coursera reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.08 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Coursera releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolution source:
| canbane | Yes | 20 |
| Swift Voyager DD00 | Yes | 17.77 |
| Stan235 | Yes | 8.22 |
| alvaro25011 | Yes | 6.65 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Rotten-Venti | Yes | 5 |
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