Analytics
Trading ended on 22 Oct 2026 with Yes at 94.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 11 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 94.5% on 22 Oct 2026 and the lowest 43.5% on 11 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 44%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 52% on 17 Oct 2026.
Panathinaikós AO is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “Qairat FK vs. Panathinaikós AO”, ahead of Draw (Qairat FK vs. Panathinaikós AO) at 4.5%.
$30.25K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Flaznorp with 2.6K shares; the largest No position is Rapid Sphinx 92FD with 2.4K. Ten wallets hold 47.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 3:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 10 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | 48.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 94.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Flaznorp | Yes | 2.56K |
| Rapid Sphinx 92FD | No | 2.38K |
| Maximus1391 | Yes | 2.04K |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 22, 2026 If Panathinaikós AO wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/col-kai-pao-2026-10-22
| Cannae |
| No |
| 1.88K |
| GC-P | No | 1.74K |
| 000brokie000 | Yes | 1.7K |
| VeryLucky888 | No | 1.66K |
| GoalLineGhost | No | 1.62K |
| RN1 | No | 1.26K |
| Wide-Eyed-Con | Yes | 1.11K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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