Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 3 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 17.5% on 6 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 26 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 0.7% on 7 Dec 2024. $105.84K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 1:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 3 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2024 | 14.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mikycat | Yes | 8.54K |
| thebighshort | Yes | 5.24K |
| Eog0574 | Yes | 647.26 |
| mo333 | Yes | 99.95 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that Coinbase ($COIN) will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether Coinbase has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The resolution source will be an official announcement from S&P Global Inc. (see: https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/coin-added-to-sp-500-in-2024
| Twizzler | Yes | 41.16 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 40 |
| Swift Raven 9F79 | Yes | 19.47 |
| lilynelson | No | 2.02 |
| kwoskcowhs75 | Yes | 0.33 |
| IUVGHQAga15 | Yes | 0.25 |
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