Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 69.5%. Yes opened at 52% on 14 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 52% on 14 Oct 2025 and the low 30.5% on 15 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 30.5% on 15 Oct 2025. $4.89K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 14 Oct 2025 – 15 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2025 | 52.0% |
| 15 Oct 2025 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ballthemost | Yes | 133.33 |
| Old-Fashioned-Throne | Yes | 31.6 |
| youngjoon | Yes | 14.29 |
| Dannyzz | Yes | 10 |
| ceda | Yes | 3.23 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 14, 2025 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cof-slv-gua-2025-10-14
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