Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 45.5%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 4 Sep 2025. $10.96K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 4 Sep 2025 – 5 Sep 2025 · axis zoomed to 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2025 | 54.5% |
| 5 Sep 2025 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.44K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 3.81K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 906 |
| thebullet | Yes | 458.02 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 292 |
| Skankfest | Yes | 175.44 |
| Lilpump | Yes | 175.44 |
| Rigid-Burrow | Yes | 107.14 |
| IdiotDoomSpiral | Yes | 60 |
| Skighwalker | Yes | 50.88 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 4, 2025 If Guatemala wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cof-gua-slv-2025-09-04
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