Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 69%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 56% on 12 Nov 2025 and the low 30% on 13 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 30% on 13 Nov 2025. $5.86K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 25 points · 21 Oct 2025 – 14 Nov 2025 · axis zoomed to 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
| 14 Nov 2025 | 31.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.52K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 535 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 362 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 148 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 135 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 134 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 56 |
| MartyMcFox | Yes | 20 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.09 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | Yes | 15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 13, 2025 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cof-gua-pan-2025-11-13
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