Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.9%. Yes opened at 43% on 12 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 15 Aug 2026, the highest close was 46.4% on 14 Aug 2026 and the lowest 8.1% on 15 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 8.1% on 15 Aug 2026.
Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 8:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 15 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 43.0% |
| 15 Aug 2026 | 8.1% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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In the upcoming Club Friendlies game between Newcastle United and Bayer Leverkusen, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Newcastle United vs. Bayer Leverkusen match originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering the final score regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/clf-new-lev-2026-08-15-exact-score
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