Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 68%. Yes opened at 50% on 31 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 76.5% on 11 Aug 2026 and the low 47.5% on 3 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 70% on 4 Aug 2026. $138.21K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 13, 11:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 31 Jul 2026 – 12 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | 68.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | No | 3.82K |
| SapporoAsahi | No | 3.66K |
| MeistersApprenticeship | No | 3.45K |
| sentrio | No | 2.7K |
| mortewfenloin | No | 2.24K |
| ikbnn0u3rwojl | No | 1.22K |
| GamblingAddict12345 | No | 913.97 |
| Notradecopy | No | 803.55 |
| sobaka.yebaka | No | 647 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 517.92 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 12, 2026 If Real Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market will settle based on the final score of the match, regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/clf-dep-rma-2026-08-12
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