Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 12 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, the highest close was 99% on 18 Sep 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 12 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 72% on 17 Aug 2026. $4.19K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 28, 2:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 28 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 48.5% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | 98.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Train9040 | Yes | 587.98 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 239.99 |
| predictdogepepewif | No | 22.99 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Christian Watson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 2.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Christian Watson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns Christian Watson recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/christian-watson-receiving-touchdowns-2026-27
| Polimaki | No | 20 |
| bjprolo | No | 12 |
| Slimy-Coin | No | 8.96 |
| a5533 | No | 5.21 |
| Attached-Prairie | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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