
Resolved Yes on 4 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2024 to 4 Feb 2025, the highest close was 100% on 4 Feb 2025 and the lowest 50% on 21 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 93.5% on 22 Nov 2024. $306.3K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 7:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 21 Nov 2024 – 4 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2024 | 50.0% |
| 4 Feb 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | No | 13.3K |
| PolyDump | No | 400 |
| Karmajoe | Yes | 10.6 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Wright is confirmed as Secretary of Energy by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Wright's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed
| Yes |
| 5.29 |
| zhizuchangle | No | 5 |
| Beiby | Yes | 4.63 |
| Threeeey | Yes | 3.15 |
| Hellart | Yes | 3.14 |
| postwar | Yes | 3.13 |
| Higery | Yes | 3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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