Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 25%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2026 to 11 Apr 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 23 Mar 2026 and the lowest 25% on 11 Apr 2026. $15.99K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 3:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 11 Apr 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 11 Apr 2026 | 25.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RN1 | No | 315 |
| Keen Quasar EFAA | No | 181.87 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 167.3 |
| mdgc | No | 80 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 12, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.csl-china.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/chi-jin-hai-2026-04-12
| jackmeghivott | No | 50 |
| musa77 | No | 30.3 |
| LynxTitan | No | 23.02 |
| eanvanezygv | No | 22.47 |
| xutesaponu | No | 10 |
| gujnbgfddt | No | 9.94 |
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