Analytics
Resolved TCU on 31 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had TCU at 35.5%. The USC side opened at 69% on 27 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2025 to 31 Dec 2025, the highest close was 69% on 27 Dec 2025 and the lowest 64.5% on 31 Dec 2025. $1.89M traded over the market's life.
131 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the USC price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 27 Dec 2025 – 31 Dec 2025, chart shows 60%–72%
| Observed | USC price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | 69.0% |
| 31 Dec 2025 | 64.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WEALTHALCHEMIST | USC | 46.78K |
| tysonuw | USC | 9.23K |
| DouYing | USC | 7.78K |
| primm | USC | 5.32K |
| Kev69 | USC | 3.38K |
| cbfan | USC | 2.52K |
| ilikegamblingonsportz | USC | 2.47K |
| KamikazeKapital | USC | 1.12K |
| St-Qc | USC | 1.11K |
| Glaring-Lock | USC | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 30 at 9:00PM ET: If the USC win, the market will resolve to "USC". If the TCU win, the market will resolve to "TCU". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-usc-tcu-2025-12-30
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