Analytics
Resolved Toledo on 3 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Toledo at 91.5%. The Toledo side opened at 50% on 22 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 22 Sep 2026 to 3 Oct 2026, the highest close was 91.5% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 22 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 71% on 23 Sep 2026. $36.06K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 9:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Toledo price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 22 Sep 2026 – 3 Oct 2026
| Observed | Toledo price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | 91.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Ball State | 19.37K |
| Scotty155 | Ball State | 4.16K |
| B... | Ball State | 1.52K |
| SnakeBall | Ball State | 1.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Ball State, scheduled for October 3 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game. This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-toledo-ballst-2026-10-03
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| RyoutsuKankichi | Ball State | 466.79 |
| EclipseChaser | Ball State | 428.56 |
| caspar1248 | Ball State | 409.5 |
| randomvision | Ball State | 227.27 |
| scofield2 | Ball State | 117.18 |
| Md54941 | Ball State | 109.98 |
