Analytics
Resolved California on 30 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had California at 17.5%. The SMU Mustangs side opened at 42% on 24 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 83% on 25 Nov 2025 and the low 42% on 24 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 83% on 25 Nov 2025. $425.52K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 1, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the SMU Mustangs price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 24 Nov 2025 – 30 Nov 2025
| Observed | SMU Mustangs price |
|---|---|
| 24 Nov 2025 | 42.0% |
| 30 Nov 2025 | 82.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DouYing | SMU Mustangs | 61.76K |
| comon119 | SMU Mustangs | 60K |
| potko | SMU Mustangs | 32.68K |
| botbot | SMU Mustangs | 10K |
| letsgoduckies | SMU Mustangs | 4.41K |
| Amgzing | SMU Mustangs | 2.69K |
| neekwilwin | SMU Mustangs | 974.58 |
| St-Qc | SMU Mustangs | 666 |
| Bella2022 | SMU Mustangs | 637.34 |
| athenacap | SMU Mustangs | 505.96 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 29 at 8:00PM ET: If the SMU Mustangs win, the market will resolve to "SMU Mustangs". If the California win, the market will resolve to "California". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-smu-cah-2025-11-29
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