
Resolved Michigan on 17 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Michigan at 66.5%. The Penn State side opened at 50% on 7 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 7 Oct 2026 and the low 30.5% on 16 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 33.5% on 9 Oct 2026. $287.62K traded over the market's life.
58 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 11:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Penn State price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Penn State price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 33.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Scotty155 | Penn State | 4.87K |
| Wordy-Littleneck | Penn State | 3.47K |
| AnonymousUsername | Penn State | 1.35K |
| ENDBOSSLLC | Penn State | 1.23K |
| freeshore | Penn State | 781 |
| AmericaFirst1 | Penn State | 554.96 |
| SlickRick123 | Penn State | 438 |
| Buildbackbettor | Penn State | 400 |
| superlxj | Penn State | 328 |
| shoemanhere | Penn State | 326.4 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming college football game between Penn State and Michigan, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game. This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-pennst-mich-2026-10-17
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