Analytics
Resolved Oregon on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Oregon at 55%. The Oregon side opened at 53% on 27 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 55% on 1 Jan 2026 and the lowest 52.5% on 28 Dec 2025. $4.9M traded over the market's life.
207 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 3, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Oregon price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 27 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Oregon price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | 53.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 55.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bossoskil | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 2.14M |
| fijinice | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 151.39K |
| Mikee12 | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 46.41K |
| 0x0limit | Texas Tech Red Raiders |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for January 1 at 12:00PM ET: If the Oregon win, the market will resolve to "Oregon". If the Texas Tech Red Raiders win, the market will resolve to "Texas Tech Red Raiders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-ore-txtech-2026-01-01
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| 30.3K |
| knedloveprovelo | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 20.08K |
| YT-JuicySlots | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 14.8K |
| D2z | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 10K |
| NebulaBite | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 8.38K |
| LiquidatedDegen | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 7.95K |
| Sweet-Ash | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 5.77K |
