Analytics
Resolved Indiana on 10 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Indiana at 60.5%. Yes opened at 38% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 10 Jan 2026, the highest close was 39.5% on 10 Jan 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 7 Jan 2026. $4.66M traded over the market's life.
316 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 11, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 10 Jan 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 38.0% |
| 10 Jan 2026 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| YT-JuicySlots | Oregon | 115.38K |
| SportsPsychology101 | Oregon | 100K |
| Anointed-Connect | Oregon | 40K |
| tysonuw | Oregon | 30K |
| lavarball | Oregon | 24.5K |
| benwyatt | Oregon | 20K |
| MMKing | Oregon | 18.99K |
| Frut | Oregon | 18.37K |
| cubsfan333 | Oregon | 12.5K |
| iceforme24 | Oregon | 11.64K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for January 9 at 7:30PM ET: If the Oregon win, the market will resolve to "Oregon". If the Indiana win, the market will resolve to "Indiana". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-ore-ind-2026-01-09
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