Analytics
Resolved New Mexico on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had New Mexico at 84.5%. The New Mexico side opened at 86% on 7 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 18 Oct 2026, the highest close was 86% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 70.5% on 10 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 70.5% on 10 Oct 2026. $187.27K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 6:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the New Mexico price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 18 Oct 2026, chart shows 65%–90%
| Observed | New Mexico price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 86.0% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | 84.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HomeRunHazard | Hawai'I | 6.34K |
| torta.tech | Hawai'I | 6.33K |
| ENDBOSSLLC | Hawai'I | 4.22K |
| LuckyLoo | Hawai'I | 3.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico and Hawai'i, scheduled for October 17 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game. This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-nmx-hawaii-2026-10-17
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Black-And-White-Nougat | Hawai'I | 2.47K |
| pltrkr111 | Hawai'I | 2.16K |
| Alienated-Adaptation-Likelihood | Hawai'I | 1.06K |
| SnakeBall | Hawai'I | 805 |
| matthew12366 | Hawai'I | 700 |
| caspar1248 | Hawai'I | 654.11 |
