Analytics
Resolved Toledo on 6 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Toledo at 85.5%. The Northern Illinois side opened at 15% on 5 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 15% on 5 Nov 2025 and the low 14.5% on 6 Nov 2025. $139.49K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Northern Illinois price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 5 Nov 2025 – 6 Nov 2025, chart shows 5%–20%
| Observed | Northern Illinois price |
|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2025 | 15.0% |
| 6 Nov 2025 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| comon119 | Northern Illinois | 30K |
| NebulaBite | Northern Illinois | 7.21K |
| Ziigmund | Northern Illinois | 3.13K |
| Usernombre | Northern Illinois | 3.09K |
| duderr | Northern Illinois | 3K |
| EVplusrebate | Northern Illinois | 1K |
| FavoritesOnly | Northern Illinois | 1K |
| Productive-Wriggler | Northern Illinois | 1K |
| BadFalleN4u | Northern Illinois | 784.97 |
| Vivacious-Bankbook | Northern Illinois | 683.39 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 5 at 7:00PM ET: If the Northern Illinois win, the market will resolve to "Northern Illinois". If the Toledo win, the market will resolve to "Toledo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-nill-toledo-2025-11-05
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