Analytics
Resolved California on 18 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had California at 73.5%. The North Carolina side opened at 23% on 14 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2025 to 18 Oct 2025, the highest close was 26.5% on 18 Oct 2025 and the lowest 23% on 14 Oct 2025. $918.9K traded over the market's life.
98 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the North Carolina price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 14 Oct 2025 – 18 Oct 2025, chart shows 18%–30%
| Observed | North Carolina price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2025 | 23.0% |
| 18 Oct 2025 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Anointed-Connect | North Carolina | 58.71K |
| comon119 | North Carolina | 40K |
| SammySledge | North Carolina | 20K |
| EddieMoneySports | North Carolina |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for October 17 at 10:30PM ET: If the North Carolina win, the market will resolve to "North Carolina". If the California win, the market will resolve to "California". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-ncar-cah-2025-10-18
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| 20K |
| 4-seas | North Carolina | 16.85K |
| sadilamb | North Carolina | 15K |
| statwC00KS | North Carolina | 3.32K |
| olegmongol | North Carolina | 3K |
| Jinitaimei | North Carolina | 1.58K |
| 0xDmytro | North Carolina | 1.5K |
