Analytics
Resolved Texas on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Texas at 100%. Yes opened at 25% on 27 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 28% on 31 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. $2.52M traded over the market's life.
107 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 27 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | 25.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bossoskil | Michigan | 832.54K |
| Iulii | Michigan | 13.51K |
| cbfan | Michigan | 9.07K |
| nachofdff | Michigan | 4.91K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 31 at 3:00PM ET: If the Michigan win, the market will resolve to "Michigan". If the Texas win, the market will resolve to "Texas". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-mich-tx-2025-12-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| St-Qc | Michigan | 4.63K |
| ZedsDeadBaby | Michigan | 2.51K |
| Ready-Visa | Michigan | 2.22K |
| NebulaBite | Michigan | 1.74K |
| salvesterboccinio | Michigan | 1.51K |
| LiquidatedDegen | Michigan | 1.27K |
